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Red7
480.7
28262.9
1073.4
Blue8
20565.6
1411.7
24812.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611020304078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
Unranked
3.40.0
3.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2056
Unranked
5.60.1
5.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2826
Unranked
2.90.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2481
Unranked
2.90.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
Unranked
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
141
Unranked
1.70.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End