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Red10
15383.2
1711.5
3305.9
Blue9
1114.6
5372.2
17186.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10140520253035109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
5.90.0
5.75.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1718
Unranked
6.00.2
5.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
Unranked
3.20.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
111
Unranked
4.60.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
171
Unranked
1.50.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
537
Unranked
2.20.2
2.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End