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Red3
9311.1
10942.1
938-0.1
Blue1
2353-0.3
2201-0.0
19821.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1982
#17
1.00.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
931
#26
1.10.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2201
#33
-0.00.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
938
#48
-0.10.1
-0.2-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2353
#59
-0.30.0
-0.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End