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Red1
23351.1
23570.5
17690.3
Blue2
17640.9
9370.7
17750.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2335
#22
1.10.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1764
#30
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2357
#49
0.50.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1775
#58
0.90.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1769
#44
0.30.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
937
#24
0.70.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End