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Red8
9351.7
17371.1
17632.3
Blue2
162.6
17850.8
17300.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34026810121482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1763
#14
2.30.4
1.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
16
#9
2.60.1
1.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#8
1.70.4
1.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1730
#13
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1737
#23
1.10.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
0.80.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End