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Red4
25600.5
2342.7
23340.4
Blue2
18101.8
19390.0
18061.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302468101242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#10
2.70.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1810
#12
1.80.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2560
#46
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1806
#29
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2334
#57
0.40.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1939
#56
0.00.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End