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Red2
18061.4
24611.1
21640.9
Blue0
17391.1
24101.1
17820.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430268101220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#29
1.40.2
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1739
#18
1.10.3
1.51.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2410
#20
1.10.3
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2164
#38
0.90.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1782
#25
0.40.3
0.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End