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Red3
10942.1
17690.3
23540.2
Blue1
18020.9
9321.1
19970.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320124567831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
932
#11
1.10.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1769
#44
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1997
#36
0.90.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2354
#47
0.20.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1802
#40
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End