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Red4
19200.5
20801.2
22210.9
Blue6
14212.2
33640.5
29921.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24068101246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#12
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2.20.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
#11
0.90.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.90.0
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1920
#35
0.50.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3364
#31
0.50.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End