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Red0
19200.5
22210.9
20801.2
Blue8
14212.2
33640.5
29921.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250468101208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#12
1.20.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2.20.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
#11
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.90.1
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1920
#35
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3364
#31
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End