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Red1
18180.2
13980.3
19271.6
Blue0
21830.1
29200.9
21730.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110246810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
0.90.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1398
#17
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2173
#27
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1818
#29
0.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2183
#26
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End