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Red1
21900.6
570.7
32280.2
Blue3
3640.9
22210.9
30390.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110246813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
#18
0.70.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2221
#11
0.90.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2190
#13
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
364
#16
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3228
#24
0.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3039
#28
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End