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Red4
3582.3
5450.7
5221.9
Blue2
5271.9
31710.6
5641.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046810121442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#5
2.30.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
527
#12
1.90.0
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
#25
1.90.1
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
564
#23
1.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
545
#7
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3171
#45
0.60.4
0.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End