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Red5
8840.9
8711.3
17960.8
Blue2
18080.4
15541.4
16070.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11023456752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
#15
1.30.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1554
#26
1.40.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
884
#35
0.90.3
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1607
#20
0.80.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1796
#24
0.80.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1808
#30
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End