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Red2
3691.4
14681.8
4170.5
Blue0
17510.7
2700.2
569-0.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#22
1.80.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1751
#28
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#19
1.40.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
270
#34
0.20.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
417
#41
0.50.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
569
#47
-0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End