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Red3
15541.4
17960.8
4170.5
Blue4
5450.7
3530.9
18080.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1554
#26
1.40.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
353
#11
0.90.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1796
#24
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
545
#7
0.70.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
417
#41
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1808
#30
0.40.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End