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Red1
17510.7
15370.0
281.4
Blue0
16070.8
569-0.2
20270.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234567810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
#18
1.40.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1607
#20
0.80.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1751
#28
0.70.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2027
#36
0.20.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1537
#48
0.00.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
569
#47
-0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End