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Red5
11000.8
32361.3
20131.3
Blue3
26481.5
692.7
19730.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1402681053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#14
1.30.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
69
#1
2.70.0
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3236
#10
1.30.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2648
#18
1.50.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1100
#38
0.80.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1973
#51
0.40.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End