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Red6
2291.1
20431.8
27131.0
Blue2
25930.3
16990.7
32802.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2.40.0
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
#23
1.10.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1699
#26
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2713
#30
1.00.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2593
#49
0.30.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End