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Red2
28880.9
15112.8
13500.9
Blue6
31831.0
25902.2
1551.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.80.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2.20.2
1.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2888
#22
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
155
#19
1.50.3
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1350
#34
0.90.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3183
#36
1.00.4
1.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End