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Red1
2291.1
19730.4
20790.5
Blue4
4671.2
20841.9
19223.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#23
1.10.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1922
#29
3.00.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2079
#39
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2084
#11
1.90.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#51
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
467
#41
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End