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Red1
11680.8
17190.2
21990.3
Blue4
8690.8
30151.3
25340.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#41
0.80.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3015
#15
1.30.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2199
#46
0.30.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
869
#27
0.80.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1719
#39
0.20.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2534
#42
0.60.2
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End