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Red3
7080.7
16292.0
21990.3
Blue2
17271.9
25370.4
11680.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302468101232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1727
#26
1.90.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
708
#35
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1168
#41
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2199
#46
0.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2537
#47
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End