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Red1
21990.3
13910.9
11950.2
Blue5
25281.8
7682.0
8881.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1502468101215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#21
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
768
#5
2.00.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2199
#46
0.30.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1.80.0
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1195
#48
0.20.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
888
#10
1.10.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End