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Red3
13890.1
16261.0
16292.0
Blue0
6860.4
2721.3
7080.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
272
#16
1.30.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
#32
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
708
#35
0.70.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1389
#44
0.10.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
686
#20
0.40.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End