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Red3
19800.8
11950.2
18290.8
Blue5
25460.9
4671.1
12181.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14026835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1980
#31
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1218
#11
1.60.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1829
#19
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
467
#12
1.10.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1195
#48
0.20.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
0.90.1
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End