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Red3
10583.2
21990.3
3652.4
Blue5
12181.6
25281.8
1731.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7402810121435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.1
3.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1.80.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
#4
2.40.1
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1218
#11
1.60.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2199
#46
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
173
#22
1.00.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End