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Red6
21990.3
3652.4
10583.2
Blue3
1731.0
25281.8
12181.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6402810121463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1.80.0
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
#4
2.40.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1218
#11
1.60.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2199
#46
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
173
#22
1.00.0
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End