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Red2
8570.6
22461.5
33571.9
Blue4
22451.0
1411.5
5181.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#13
1.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
141
#11
1.50.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2246
#23
1.50.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
518
#27
1.10.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
857
#28
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2245
#18
1.00.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End