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Red4
12541.2
27671.2
27713.3
Blue9
32342.2
7032.8
3971.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54026810121449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.30.0
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
703
#8
2.80.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2767
#31
1.20.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.20.2
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1254
#32
1.20.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
397
#7
1.90.2
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End