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Red4
17110.9
15041.3
17831.1
Blue3
29591.5
21881.2
22461.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23014567843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#19
1.30.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2246
#23
1.50.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1783
#21
1.10.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2959
#16
1.50.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1711
#34
0.90.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2188
#20
1.20.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End