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Red5
17110.9
32342.2
29591.5
Blue2
24051.3
33571.9
20001.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.20.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3357
#13
1.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2959
#16
1.50.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2405
#17
1.30.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1711
#34
0.90.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2000
#29
1.30.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End