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Red5
17831.1
20751.7
26452.9
Blue4
19400.5
22461.5
8580.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61024810121454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.0
2.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2246
#23
1.50.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.70.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1940
#41
0.50.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1783
#21
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
858
#39
0.20.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End