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Red11
3971.9
27713.3
26111.5
Blue2
9041.0
22451.0
24741.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63048101214112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.30.3
2.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2474
#15
1.60.0
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
#7
1.90.3
1.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
904
#26
1.00.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#24
1.50.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2245
#18
1.00.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End