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Red5
20751.7
29591.5
1411.5
Blue3
27671.2
2881.7
24051.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44123567853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
288
#10
1.70.1
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
#11
1.50.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2405
#17
1.30.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2959
#16
1.50.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2767
#31
1.20.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End