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Red6
3971.9
26452.9
851.6
Blue5
17184.3
15041.3
740.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65024810121465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4.30.0
4.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
#7
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1504
#19
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
85
#14
1.60.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
74
#30
0.80.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End