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Red4
17110.9
27671.2
5181.1
Blue3
12431.8
20001.3
15041.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240681043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#31
1.20.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1243
#12
1.80.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
518
#27
1.10.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1504
#19
1.30.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1711
#34
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2000
#29
1.30.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End