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Red5
21881.2
27713.3
17831.1
Blue6
26040.8
33571.9
22451.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6204810121456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.30.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3357
#13
1.90.2
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2188
#20
1.20.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2245
#18
1.00.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1783
#21
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2604
#22
0.80.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End