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Red8
20541.4
12431.8
33571.9
Blue3
20751.7
27713.3
26111.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions470261012141683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#13
1.90.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3.30.1
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
#12
1.80.1
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1.70.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2054
#33
1.40.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2611
#24
1.50.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End