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Red1
25010.1
20520.3
33131.0
Blue0
28550.8
20221.5
32441.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#12
1.00.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3244
#17
1.60.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2052
#57
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2501
#55
0.10.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2855
#62
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End