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Red3
25000.8
22640.9
25030.8
Blue1
30820.6
21811.1
25091.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#60
0.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2509
#18
1.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2503
#21
0.80.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2181
#31
1.10.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#11
0.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3082
#46
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End