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Red10
480.3
10863.5
19022.7
Blue5
34020.8
4351.4
9000.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72048101214105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.1
3.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
435
#18
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1902
#11
2.70.1
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
900
#29
0.90.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
#17
0.30.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3402
#10
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End