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Red8
19022.7
10863.5
480.3
Blue6
24831.5
33361.5
13191.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7302681012141686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.0
3.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3336
#19
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1902
#11
2.70.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1.50.0
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
#17
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1319
#25
1.10.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End