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Red2
13110.2
19022.7
32290.5
Blue3
34020.8
18111.0
3371.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240681023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#11
2.70.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
337
#12
1.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3229
#37
0.50.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1811
#21
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1311
#44
0.20.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3402
#10
0.80.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End