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Red3
21080.8
4490.7
33310.9
Blue1
5870.8
32590.6
3930.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3331
#33
0.90.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
587
#14
0.80.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2108
#41
0.80.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3259
#38
0.60.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
449
#9
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
393
#32
0.30.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End