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Red4
25341.0
3420.7
30381.9
Blue9
2263.2
1022.5
30830.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36024810121449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#37
1.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
226
#30
3.20.2
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2534
#69
1.00.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
102
#35
2.50.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
342
#81
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3083
#36
0.60.3
0.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End