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Red10
31611.7
2263.2
15512.2
Blue8
1200.8
111.8
203.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7402610121416108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#30
3.20.2
3.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
20
#21
3.40.2
2.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1551
#48
2.20.2
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
11
#59
1.80.2
1.92.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3161
#52
1.70.2
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
120
#64
0.80.2
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End