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Red1
1311.2
201.6
15170.7
Blue5
17291.3
1381.4
2382.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350246810121415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
1.60.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
238
Unranked
2.40.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
1.20.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
138
Unranked
1.40.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1517
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1729
Unranked
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End