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Red9
10581.7
10732.4
15192.7
Blue3
401.8
23860.3
1262.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650248101293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
2.70.1
2.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
126
Unranked
2.80.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
2.40.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
40
Unranked
1.80.0
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
Unranked
1.70.1
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2386
Unranked
0.30.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End