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Red2
1341.0
12470.8
31320.3
Blue4
2382.4
2130.5
5011.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134
Unranked
1.00.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
238
Unranked
2.40.1
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1247
Unranked
0.80.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
501
Unranked
1.10.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3132
Unranked
0.30.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
213
Unranked
0.50.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End